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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 10,2x - 11,3x | 10,8x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 9,0x - 10,0x | 9,5x |
| Fair Value | $302,03 - $332,96 | $317,50 |
| Upside | -25,3% - -17,7% | -21,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Lucid Group, Inc. | LCID | NasdaqGS:LCID |
| Envirotech Vehicles, Inc. | EVTV | NasdaqCM:EVTV |
| Workhorse Group Inc. | WKHS | NasdaqCM:WKHS |
| Phoenix Motor Inc. | PEVM | OTCPK:PEVM |
| Rivian Automotive, Inc. | RIVN | NasdaqGS:RIVN |
| Tesla, Inc. | TSLA | NasdaqGS:TSLA |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| LCID | EVTV | WKHS | PEVM | RIVN | TSLA | |||
| NasdaqGS:LCID | NasdaqCM:EVTV | NasdaqCM:WKHS | OTCPK:PEVM | NasdaqGS:RIVN | NasdaqGS:TSLA | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 181.3% | NM- | 77.4% | 50.8% | NM- | 31.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 210.0% | -2.9% | NM- | 118.7% | 348.7% | 22.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 45.9% | 3.0% | 16.7% | -44.2% | 28.2% | -1.6% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -4831.4% | -329.4% | 2298.1% | -254.8% | -13354.1% | 10.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -516.6% | -266.0% | -797.3% | -497.7% | -129.4% | 9.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -371.4% | -423.5% | -1116.7% | -85.7% | -94.3% | 7.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -297.5% | -640.4% | -558.7% | -73.3% | -58.5% | 5.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.92x | 4.92x | 4.79x | 1.11x | 2.85x | 13.78x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -2.0x | -0.8x | -0.9x | -1.5x | -4.9x | 276.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 4.32x | 2.17x | 0.90x | 0.66x | 3.17x | 14.06x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.11x | 4.79x | 5.92x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 5.01x | 13.14x | 23.81x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 10.24x | 10.78x | 11.32x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 95,633 | 95,633 | 95,633 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 979,124 | 1,030,657 | 1,082,190 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 27,113 | 27,113 | 27,113 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,006,237 | 1,057,770 | 1,109,303 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,325.8 | 3,325.8 | 3,325.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 302.55 | 318.05 | 333.54 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 302.55 | 318.05 | 333.54 | 404.35 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.2% | -21.3% | -17.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LCID | EVTV | WKHS | PEVM | RIVN | TSLA | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,313 | 9 | 51 | 15 | 16,654 | 1,317,682 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,337 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 7,088 | 41,647 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 688 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,814) | (6) | (54) | (7) | (5,200) | (13,788) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (18) | (746) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | (1,921) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,603 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18,524 | 1,344,795 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 324.2 | 3.5 | 15.4 | 12.9 | 1,225.9 | 3,325.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 14.20 | 1.16 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 15.11 | 404.35 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.20 | 1.16 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 15.11 | 404.35 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |